I’ve been wrestling with something that’s been bothering me since I read that 44% of hiring managers say AI will drive layoffs in 2026. But here’s what really struck me: 59% of companies admit they’re framing layoffs as ‘AI-driven’ because it plays better with stakeholders than saying the real reason is financial constraints.
We’re not just laying people off. We’re narrativizing it. And the new narrative is ‘culture-first restructuring’—keeping the innovators, cutting the risk-averse workers.
Who Gets to Define ‘Innovative’?
Meta now categorizes workers into top 20%, middle 70%, lower 7%, and bottom 3%. Amazon is requiring corporate employees to submit 3-5 ‘accomplishments’ for the first time across its entire workforce. These aren’t performance reviews anymore. They’re classification systems.
But who decides what counts as innovative? What biases creep into those decisions?
In my 25 years in tech, I’ve seen brilliant engineers who quietly solve impossible problems get overlooked because they don’t self-promote. I’ve seen people labeled ‘disruptive’ when they’re white men, and ‘difficult’ when they’re women of color—for the exact same behavior.
The Cultural Paradox
Here’s the thing that keeps me up at night: using layoffs to drive innovation creates the opposite effect. When people watch colleagues disappear with zero notice, when access gets revoked before the conversation even happens, they don’t become more innovative. They become more compliant.
The data backs this up. Disengagement was 27% in 2024, dropped to 25% in 2025, and is expected to hit 28% in 2026. If we’re successfully keeping the innovators and cutting the deadweight, why is engagement getting worse?
Research shows that when layoffs become the default operational lever, employees retreat into risk-averse behavior. The very thing we claim to be filtering against is what we’re creating.
The Trust Problem
And let’s be honest about the AI washing. Only 4.5% of the 1.2 million job cuts in 2025 were genuinely AI-related. Most companies don’t have AI systems capable of replacing workers. But we say it anyway because it sounds forward-thinking.
Then we wonder why our teams don’t trust us.
As a CTO, I feel the pressure. I’m expected to label people, to quantify the unquantifiable, to decide who’s ‘innovative enough’ to survive the next round. And I’m supposed to sell it as strategic and data-driven when we all know it’s often about hitting a budget number.
What Are We Actually Optimizing For?
I think we need to ask harder questions:
- Are we measuring innovation or measuring compliance?
- Are we keeping people who challenge us, or people who tell us what we want to hear?
- What’s the long-term cost of short-term ‘efficiency’ when it destroys psychological safety?
- If half these layoffs will be quietly rehired offshore at lower salaries, was this ever about AI or culture?
I don’t have answers. But I’m increasingly convinced that the way we’re approaching this is going to have consequences we’re not accounting for.
For those of you leading teams through this: how are you thinking about defining innovation? How do you handle the pressure to categorize people when you know the systems are flawed?
I want to believe we can do better than this. But I’m not sure we’re trying.