为什么做出好的决策很难
因为聚光灯效应:==Daniel Kahneman says “A remarkable aspect of your mental life is that you are rarely stumped,” and mistakenly believe “what you see is all there is.”== 人们总是只看到自己看到的和想看到的,很难跳出自己看自己,所以要经常问问自己,"为什么我会这么想"。
作者认为决策过程中有四大挑战,并提出了解决办法
- Narrow framing <> 拓宽选项
- Confirmation bias <> 用事实检验假设
- Short-term emotion <> 从远处看决策
- Over-confidence <> 为错误做准备
雷达里奥也说,Recognize that 1) the biggest threat to good decision making is harmful emotions, and 2) decision making is a two-step process (first learning and then deciding).