Pipeline Attribution in Compound AI Systems: Finding the Weakest Link Before It Finds You
Your retrieval precision went up. Your reranker scores improved. Your generator faithfulness metrics look better than last quarter. And yet your users are complaining that the system is getting worse.
This is one of the more disorienting failure modes in production AI engineering, and it happens more often than teams expect. When you build a compound AI system — one where retrieval feeds a reranker, which feeds a generator, which feeds a validator — you inherit a fundamental attribution problem. End-to-end quality is the only metric that actually matters, but it's the hardest one to act on. You can't fix "the system is worse." You need to fix a specific component. And in a four-stage pipeline, that turns out to be genuinely hard.
