Your Model Is Most Wrong When It Sounds Most Sure: LLM Calibration in Production
There's a failure mode that bites teams repeatedly after they've solved the easier problems — hallucination filtering, output parsing, retry logic. The model is giving confident-sounding wrong answers, the confidence-based routing logic is trusting those wrong answers, and the system is silently misbehaving in production while the eval dashboard looks fine.
This isn't a prompting problem. It's a calibration problem, and it's baked into how modern LLMs are trained.
