The Trust Calibration Curve: How Users Learn to (Mis)Trust AI
Most AI products die the same way. The demo works. The beta users rave. You ship. And then, about three months in, session length drops, the feature sits idle, and your most engaged early users start routing around the AI to use the underlying tool directly.
It's not a model quality problem. It's a trust calibration problem.
The over-trust → failure → over-correction lifecycle is the most reliable killer of AI product adoption, and it's almost entirely preventable if you understand what's actually happening. The research is clear, the failure modes are predictable, and the design patterns exist. Most teams ignore all of it until they're looking at the retention curve and wondering what went wrong.
